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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| vinii | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (2624–721, n=3345) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $108K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #497 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (38 of 58 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −3 pts, n=54 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 2011 at avg 57¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 16% of 649) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 52% of 148) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 280) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 96% of 934) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | vinii | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | Yes $82K | — | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | Yes $39K | — | — |