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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| vinii | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (2623–720, n=3343) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $108K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #497 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (33 of 51 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −3 pts, n=54 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 2011 at avg 57¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 16% of 649) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 52% of 147) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 281) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 96% of 934) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | vinii | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $22 | — | — | Yes $64K |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $14 | — | — | Yes $22K |