← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| vinii | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (2689–773, n=3462) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $116K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #497 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (49 of 69 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −3 pts, n=54 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 2011 at avg 57¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 16% of 649) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 52% of 147) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 281) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 96% of 934) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | vinii | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.8K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $24 | — | Yes $69K | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $14 | — | Yes $22K | — |