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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wan123 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (97–179, n=276) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $970K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #244 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (46 of 69 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 158 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 100% of 17) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 51) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 100% of 38) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 52) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wan123 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22K | No $253K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $178K | Yes $38K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $27K | Raiders $67K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $585 | Yes $71K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $884 | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $22K | No $40K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $632 | Yes $51K | — |