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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wan123 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (101–182, n=283) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $990K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #244 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (40 of 63 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 162 at avg 57¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 100% of 53) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 100% of 39) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 52) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wan123 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $23K | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $222K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $524 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $270K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $872 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $412 | Yes $32K | — | — |