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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wish- | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (767–165, n=932) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (40 of 43 open) | 88% (133 of 151 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=51 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1338 at avg 83¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 7% of 107) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 33% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 83) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 96% of 1103) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wish- | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.5K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $33K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | No $32K | — | — |