← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xfile | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (477–371, n=848) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $165K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 69% (88 of 127 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (29 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −11 pts, n=10 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 626 at avg 46¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 56% of 87) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 80% of 313) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 92% of 169) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 93% of 57) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xfile | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $59K | — | Ravens $370 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.4K | — | Ravens $423 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $551K | — | Bills $421 |