Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage

6 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold RED Canids Academy (46%) · RED Canids Academy at 100¢ · $6K held · ends Nov 8

RED Canids Academy>99¢BESTIA Academy<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

RED Canids Academy

Consensus Traders

RED Canids Academy 46%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.7K

Combined PnL

-$422.62

Smart Money Entry

98.9¢ → 100¢

+1% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralRED Canids Academy at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

RED Canids Academy

6 of 13 top traders (46%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

RED Canids Academy100%

BESTIA Academy0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

RED Canids Academy6 traders

Total Value$4.2K

Total Shares4,170

Combined PnL+$11.4

BESTIA Academy7 traders

Total Value$281.24

Total Shares2,743

Combined PnL-$434.02

RED Canids Academy — 46%BESTIA Academy — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VP Vps1	RED Canids Academyavg 99.9¢	$4.0K	$4.0K	+$1.98	97% 526-19 (545)
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100	BESTIA Academyavg 21.3¢	$852.3	$615.89	-$236.41	57% 20227-15044 (35271)
└ RED Canids Academy leg	RED Canids Academyavg 77.7¢	$278.9	$319.27	+$40.37
└ BESTIA Academy leg	BESTIA Academyavg 21.3¢	$573.4	$296.62	-$276.78
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846ARB<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 84.5¢	$285.61	$318.57	+$32.96	56% 39445-31086 (70531)
└ RED Canids Academy leg	RED Canids Academyavg 84.5¢	$232.38	$174.63	-$57.75
└ BESTIA Academy leg	BESTIA Academyavg 13.5¢	$53.24	$143.95	+$90.71
31 319113331313111ARB<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 82.6¢	$257.29	$288.35	+$31.06	59% 467-318 (785)
└ RED Canids Academy leg	RED Canids Academyavg 82.6¢	$164.92	$162.63	-$2.29
└ BESTIA Academy leg	BESTIA Academyavg 13.6¢	$92.36	$125.72	+$33.35
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR	BESTIA Academyavg 32.1¢	$569.95	$257.35	-$312.6	55% 258-215 (473)
alpheclabs2	RED Canids Academyavg 89¢	$102.05	$101.78	-$0.27	47% 1601-1796 (3397)
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 74.3¢	$34.01	$37.81	+$3.8	64% 1329-748 (2077)
PA Pan9X<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 69.1¢	$51.99	$25.49	+$4.76	52% 27099-24604 (51703)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	BESTIA Academyavg 12.7¢	$105.71	$20.54	-$85.17	46% 33216-38836 (72052)
PA pauleta23<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 64.9¢	$19.67	$20.31	+$0.64	65% 25410-13589 (38999)
FL Flaznorp<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 68.5¢	$6.05	$6.53	+$0.48	51% 46870-44196 (91066)
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100	BESTIA Academyavg 28.5¢	$2.85	$2.35	-$0.5	52% 1527-1394 (2921)
GT gt7238CTR<$100	BESTIA Academyavg 24¢	$1.37	$0.88	-$0.48	45% 691-861 (1552)
PA panpidaras1CTR<$100	BESTIA Academyavg 17.1¢	$32.04	$0.09	-$31.95	48% 296-323 (619)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	BESTIA Academyavg 6¢	$1.71	$0.01	-$1.69	50% 65438-65762 (131200)
GA GaditimaCTR<$100	BESTIA Academyavg 8.5¢	$1.65	$0.01	-$1.64	47% 8606-9734 (18340)

Vps1

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$3,959.32

Value

$4.0K

PnL

+$1.98

Record

97%

526-19 (545)

BillBenter2026ARB<$100

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$852.3

Value

$615.89

PnL

-$236.41

Record

57%

20227-15044 (35271)

Both legs:

RED Canids Academy$278.977.7¢+$40.37

BESTIA Academy$573.421.3¢-$276.78

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846ARB<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$285.61

Value

$318.57

PnL

+$32.96

Record

56%

39445-31086 (70531)

Both legs:

RED Canids Academy$232.3884.5¢-$57.75

BESTIA Academy$53.2413.5¢+$90.71

319113331313111ARB<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$257.29

Value

$288.35

PnL

+$31.06

Record

59%

467-318 (785)

Both legs:

RED Canids Academy$164.9282.6¢-$2.29

BESTIA Academy$92.3613.6¢+$33.35

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$569.95

Value

$257.35

PnL

-$312.6

Record

55%

258-215 (473)

alpheclabs2

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$102.05

Value

$101.78

PnL

-$0.27

Record

47%

1601-1796 (3397)

Future-Tarot-Trader<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$34.01

Value

$37.81

PnL

+$3.8

Record

64%

1329-748 (2077)

Pan9X<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$51.99

Value

$25.49

PnL

+$4.76

Record

52%

27099-24604 (51703)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$105.71

Value

$20.54

PnL

-$85.17

Record

46%

33216-38836 (72052)

pauleta23<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$19.67

Value

$20.31

PnL

+$0.64

Record

65%

25410-13589 (38999)

Flaznorp<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$6.05

Value

$6.53

PnL

+$0.48

Record

51%

46870-44196 (91066)

lonmi2511CTR<$100

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$2.85

Value

$2.35

PnL

-$0.5

Record

52%

1527-1394 (2921)

gt7238CTR<$100

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$1.37

Value

$0.88

PnL

-$0.48

Record

45%

691-861 (1552)

panpidaras1CTR<$100

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$32.04

Value

$0.09

PnL

-$31.95

Record

48%

296-323 (619)

cigarettesCTR<$100

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$1.71

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$1.69

Record

50%

65438-65762 (131200)

GaditimaCTR<$100

BESTIA Academy

Invested

$1.65

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$1.64

Record

47%

8606-9734 (18340)

Research grade

NeutralRED Canids Academy at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

RED Canids Academy

6 of 13 top traders (46%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that RED Canids Academy wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.