Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to Score
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Yes 43%
$559.42
-$168.73
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 52.4¢ | $177.61 | $428 | +$250.39 | 59% 46944-33223 (80167) |
AR ARocky33 | Noavg 50¢ | $39.05 | $100 | +$60.95 | 76% 4147-1304 (5451) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Yesavg 41.6¢ | $166.31 | — | -$166.31 | 48% 8991-9637 (18628) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 60.7¢ | $14.69 | $24.18 | +$9.49 | 53% 5677-5082 (10759) |
 poshposh<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $7.05 | $7.24 | +$0.19 | 58% 10691-7671 (18362) |
 0xheavy888CTR | Yesavg 59¢ | $134.13 | — | -$134.13 | 55% 7319-5884 (13203) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 57187-49444 (106631) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 39¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33888-33462 (67350) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 13032-13607 (26639) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 42¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 3437-2346 (5783) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Yesavg 39¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 8417-6766 (15183) |
FO fooooolCTR | Yesavg 58.6¢ | $189.3 | — | -$189.3 | 50% 11182-10999 (22181) |
Invested
$177.61
Value
$428
PnL
+$250.39
Record
59%
46944-33223 (80167)
Invested
$39.05
Value
$100
PnL
+$60.95
Record
76%
4147-1304 (5451)
Invested
$166.31
Value
—
PnL
-$166.31
Record
48%
8991-9637 (18628)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$14.69
Value
$24.18
PnL
+$9.49
Record
53%
5677-5082 (10759)
poshposh<$100Invested
$7.05
Value
$7.24
PnL
+$0.19
Record
58%
10691-7671 (18362)
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$134.13
Value
—
PnL
-$134.13
Record
55%
7319-5884 (13203)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
57187-49444 (106631)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33888-33462 (67350)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
13032-13607 (26639)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
3437-2346 (5783)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8417-6766 (15183)
Invested
$189.3
Value
—
PnL
-$189.3
Record
50%
11182-10999 (22181)
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