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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 6?

Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Yes 67%

Total Value

$30.3

Combined PnL

$38.15

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 12 top traders (25%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No9 traders

Total Value$30.3

Total Shares30

Combined PnL+$2.99

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares306

Combined PnL+$35.16

No — 75%Yes — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 90.1¢	$27.31	$30.3	+$2.99	58% 21404-15543 (36947)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100	Yesavg 5.2¢	$13.22	—	+$34.23	38% 866-1436 (2302)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.7¢	$33.31	—	+$0.93	19% 2917-12377 (15294)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	52% 31058-29024 (60082)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 94.5¢	—	—	+$0	71% 13966-5637 (19603)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 87.2¢	—	—	+$0	53% 12589-11026 (23615)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100	Noavg 82.8¢	—	—	+$0	44% 2318-2942 (5260)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	No	—	—	+$0	34% 19429-36974 (56403)
GR graynotebook19<$100	No	—	—	+$0	58% 15835-11510 (27345)
GO godblessme2026<$100	Noavg 96.1¢	—	—	+$0	38% 7335-11771 (19106)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100	Noavg 95.2¢	—	—	+$0	39% 1285-2015 (3300)
12 123987456<$100	Noavg 88.3¢	$4.42	—	+$0	42% 2369-3249 (5618)

Invested

$27.31

Value

$30.3

PnL

+$2.99

Record

58%

21404-15543 (36947)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100

Invested

$13.22

Value

—

PnL

+$34.23

Record

38%

866-1436 (2302)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

$33.31

Value

—

PnL

+$0.93

Record

19%

2917-12377 (15294)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

31058-29024 (60082)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

71%

13966-5637 (19603)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

12589-11026 (23615)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

44%

2318-2942 (5260)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

19429-36974 (56403)

graynotebook19<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

15835-11510 (27345)

godblessme2026<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

7335-11771 (19106)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

1285-2015 (3300)

Invested

$4.42

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

2369-3249 (5618)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 12 top traders (25%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x168ccc57...8b9041

Slug

highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-november-6-2026-29c

Traders in this Market

ghorrock

No — $30.3

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

LornaPredicts

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

graynotebook19

No — $0

godblessme2026

No — $0

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