Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Pavlos Tsitsipas — but Melios Efstathiou won instead.

M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Resolved Melios Efstathiou. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Pavlos Tsitsipas. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Pavlos Tsitsipas 42%

Total Value

$427.25

Combined PnL

-$730.13

Pavlos Tsitsipas

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Melios Efstathiou100%

Pavlos Tsitsipas0%

Pavlos Tsitsipas5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,064

Combined PnL-$773.12

Melios Efstathiou8 traders

Total Value$427.25

Total Shares427

Combined PnL+$42.99

Pavlos Tsitsipas — 38%Melios Efstathiou — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Pavlos Tsitsipasavg 53.6¢	$686.76	—	-$686.76	51% 24202-22938 (47140)
CI cigarettes	Melios Efstathiouavg 73.7¢	$110.5	$150	+$39.5	53% 22496-19712 (42208)
LR lryyy<$100	Melios Efstathiouavg 82¢	$72.16	$88	+$15.84	47% 9215-10335 (19550)
SL SlickRick123<$100	Melios Efstathiouavg 71¢	$55.04	$77.52	+$22.48	48% 5269-5761 (11030)
poshposh<$100	Melios Efstathiouavg 85¢	$44.74	$45	+$0.27	57% 12255-9317 (21572)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Melios Efstathiouavg 48.6¢	$13.03	$26.8	+$13.77	46% 1383-1634 (3017)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Melios Efstathiouavg 35.6¢	$11.04	$20	+$8.96	59% 31848-22485 (54333)
IW iWasEnough<$100	Melios Efstathiouavg 34.7¢	$10.72	$19.93	+$9.31	51% 11897-11293 (23190)
RN1CTR<$100	Pavlos Tsitsipasavg 40¢	$64.15	—	-$64.15	53% 60045-52422 (112467)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Pavlos Tsitsipasavg 33¢	$9	—	-$9	47% 11065-12394 (23459)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100	Pavlos Tsitsipasavg 60.7¢	$9.47	—	-$9.47	82% 7003-1508 (8511)
US User7429CTR<$100	Pavlos Tsitsipasavg 18.7¢	$3.75	—	-$3.75	56% 8920-7126 (16046)
GL glennyorkshire	Melios Efstathiouavg 75.6¢	$302.34	—	-$67.14	45% 175-218 (393)