Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5

Resolved Under. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Under 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$643.4

Combined PnL

-$320.45

Under

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over0%

Under100%

Under8 traders

Total Value$561.95

Total Shares562

Combined PnL+$96.08

Over5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,045

Combined PnL-$416.53

Under — 62%Over — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TO topdogbigboi	Underavg 78.4¢	$241.51	$263.3	+$21.79	47% 11568-12989 (24557)
GA Gaditima	Underavg 77¢	$250	$250	+$57.5	48% 7251-7943 (15194)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Overavg 31.5¢	$471.36	$81.45	-$360.33	51% 25463-24164 (49627)
└ Under leg	Underavg 63.7¢	$51.86	$81.45	+$29.59
└ Over leg	Overavg 31.5¢	$389.91	—	-$389.91
GH ghorrock<$100	Underavg 43¢	$18.85	$18.85	+$10.74	58% 20201-14846 (35047)
Malfunction.<$100	Underavg 99.9¢	$15.13	$15.15	+$0.02	96% 12264-556 (12820)
PA Pan9XCTR	Overavg 46.8¢	$131.53	—	-$61.96	50% 4375-4378 (8753)
38 38791873984189	Underavg 42¢	$293.41	$5.41	+$3.14	48% 60543-65164 (125707)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Underavg 55¢	$5	$5	+$2.25	59% 32409-22876 (55285)
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Underavg 43¢	$3	$3	-$0.07	54% 18155-15267 (33422)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Underavg 42¢	$1.24	$1.24	+$0.72	52% 8709-7935 (16644)
RN1CTR	Overavg 40.3¢	$332.58	—	-$332.58	53% 60903-53272 (114175)
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100	Overavg 42.7¢	$48.33	—	-$20.65	53% 12084-10599 (22683)
PA pauleta23CTR<$100	Overavg 53¢	$2.3	—	-$1.22	66% 24167-12294 (36461)
DA dabossrealmanCTR	Overavg 20.9¢	$679	—	-$0.14	61% 2696-1709 (4405)