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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Pain | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (294–180, n=474) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $4.1M | $3.3M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #486 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #54 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 73% (100 of 137 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 23% of 73) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 50% of 117) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 82% of 137) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 98% of 125) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Pain | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | T1 $2 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $44K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $14K | — | — | T1 $863K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | Bilibili Gaming $384K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $3.9K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $154K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $2.5K | — | Pelicans $57K |