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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465lava-lavaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4521–3296, n=7817)43% (438–580, n=1018)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$1.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #67PM monthly #52PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)56% (48 of 86 open)64% (28 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134Finance −15 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1183)48% (won 8% of 421)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 38% of 140)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2055)15% (won 70% of 131)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2092)21% (won 96% of 188)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465lava-lavaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $20K—Lorenzo Musetti $34K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $105No $8.6K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $75—No $4.3K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $51KYes $4.6K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Over $3.0K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $37Yes $167—