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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankLightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (547–663, n=1210)54% (666–577, n=1243)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M$23K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #213PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (77 of 114 open)51% (86 of 167 open)54% (36 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=77, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=276, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +24 pts n=19, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 81% of 57)6% (won 100% of 23)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 201)19% (won 100% of 76)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 196)20% (won 100% of 78)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%19% (won 100% of 109)55% (won 100% of 215)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankLightParadoxRN1
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
——Franco Roncadelli $9.9KRafael Tosetto $467
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai
opposite sides · consensus Maxim Mrva
——Maxim Mrva $1.1KMichele Ribecai $6.4K
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Tamara Zidansek $1.7KBianca Andreescu $837
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $193Over $1.4K
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
——Alice Tubello $1.3KRebeka Masarova $15
Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus ŠK Slovan Bratislava
——LASK Linz $65ŠK Slovan Bratislava $664
Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $133No $137
Will IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $71
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $28No $19
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
——Arthur Gea $3.0KArthur Gea $13K
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Valerio Aboian
——Valerio Aboian $2.8KValerio Aboian $8.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Lautaro Midon $1.4KLautaro Midon $2.9K
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans
——Kimmer Coppejans $817Kimmer Coppejans $3.1K
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Villarreal CF
——Villarreal CF $3.3KVillarreal CF $321
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
——Genaro Alberto Olivieri $334Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $111Over $95
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $34No $38