Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek

13 of 21 top Polymarket traders hold Kimmer Coppejans (62%) · Kimmer Coppejans at 63¢ · $8K held · ends Nov 10

Kimmer Coppejans63¢Jonas Forejtek37¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Kimmer Coppejans

Consensus Traders

Kimmer Coppejans 62%

Total Value

$8.5K

Combined PnL

-$927.63

Smart Money Entry

58.2¢ → 63¢

+8% since entry · 13 traders

Research grade

NeutralKimmer Coppejans at 63%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Kimmer Coppejans

13 of 21 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Kimmer Coppejans63%

Jonas Forejtek37%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Kimmer Coppejans13 traders

Total Value$5.1K

Total Shares7,852

Combined PnL+$249.11

Jonas Forejtek8 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares9,577

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Kimmer Coppejans — 62%Jonas Forejtek — 38%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+10 pts consensus

Breadth

12 traders

Top 2 hold 57%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Watch

2 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

60% of non-arb traders are on Kimmer Coppejans. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 57% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleKimmer Coppejans 50% · 4

Aligned

sharpJonas Forejtek 50% · 2

Diverging

ctrJonas Forejtek 56% · 9

Diverging

Hand-pickedKimmer Coppejans 67% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Kimmer Coppejans 58% · 19

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Kimmer Coppejansavg 59¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$126.47	53% 59089-51396 (110485)
0X 0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239CTR	Jonas Forejtekavg 42¢	$2.1K	$1.8K	-$296.26	39% 521-832 (1353)
LI Limousin	Kimmer Coppejansavg 65.2¢	$1.0K	$915.48	-$119.59	56% 959-749 (1708)
MA MadridTime	Kimmer Coppejansavg 49¢	$575.69	$739.56	+$163.87	52% 847-783 (1630)
38 38791873984189CTR	Jonas Forejtekavg 48¢	$1.5K	$733.5	-$701.7	48% 14412-15920 (30332)
VE Venusian	Kimmer Coppejansavg 60.5¢	$605.99	$628	+$22.01	53% 928-828 (1756)
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR	Jonas Forejtekavg 41.9¢	$659.61	$569.28	-$90.34	52% 6722-6264 (12986)
TH thestingsnake	Kimmer Coppejansavg 53.3¢	$270.85	$260.21	+$26.12	60% 4234-2832 (7066)
LI LightParadox	Kimmer Coppejansavg 53.2¢	$181.36	$191.52	+$10.16	53% 921-802 (1723)
TRCMCTR	Jonas Forejtekavg 68.1¢	$361.16	$190.91	-$170.26	55% 4006-3232 (7238)
SC SchruteBucks	Kimmer Coppejansavg 56.8¢	$110.15	$117.51	+$11.47	56% 1909-1473 (3382)
EU Eulhunter	Kimmer Coppejansavg 61.2¢	$100.37	$103.32	+$2.95	54% 6063-5072 (11135)
OM omnibus-076daa	Kimmer Coppejansavg 62.2¢	$105.61	$98.89	-$6.72	50% 20222-20549 (40771)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Jonas Forejtekavg 0.5¢	$1.31	$90	+$88.69	48% 5299-5685 (10984)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100	Jonas Forejtekavg 39.8¢	$38.93	$36.99	-$1.94	52% 14128-12900 (27028)
NA NatoAlfista<$100	Kimmer Coppejansavg 54.2¢	$23.33	$27.09	+$3.76	50% 4090-4063 (8153)
VeryLucky888<$100	Kimmer Coppejansavg 38¢	$12.23	$20.27	+$8.04	58% 44668-32527 (77195)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	Jonas Forejtekavg 61¢	$10.8	$10.8	+$0	56% 7605-6096 (13701)
PA pauleta23CTR<$100	Jonas Forejtekavg 70.1¢	$10.16	$5.22	-$4.94	66% 23839-12063 (35902)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Kimmer Coppejansavg 96.9¢	$4.85	$5	+$0.15	35% 17577-32882 (50459)
LI Lilybaeum<$100	Kimmer Coppejansavg 38¢	$0.61	$1.02	+$0.4	61% 13947-8981 (22928)

RN1

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$1,865.49

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$126.47

Record

53%

59089-51396 (110485)

0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239CTR

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$2,059.16

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$296.26

Record

39%

521-832 (1353)

Limousin

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$1,035.07

Value

$915.48

PnL

-$119.59

Record

56%

959-749 (1708)

MadridTime

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$575.69

Value

$739.56

PnL

+$163.87

Record

52%

847-783 (1630)

38791873984189CTR

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$1,471.04

Value

$733.5

PnL

-$701.7

Record

48%

14412-15920 (30332)

Venusian

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$605.99

Value

$628

PnL

+$22.01

Record

53%

928-828 (1756)

CandleHammerDrumsCTR

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$659.61

Value

$569.28

PnL

-$90.34

Record

52%

6722-6264 (12986)

thestingsnake

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$270.85

Value

$260.21

PnL

+$26.12

Record

60%

4234-2832 (7066)

LightParadox

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$181.36

Value

$191.52

PnL

+$10.16

Record

53%

921-802 (1723)

TRCMCTR

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$361.16

Value

$190.91

PnL

-$170.26

Record

55%

4006-3232 (7238)

SchruteBucks

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$110.15

Value

$117.51

PnL

+$11.47

Record

56%

1909-1473 (3382)

Eulhunter

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$100.37

Value

$103.32

PnL

+$2.95

Record

54%

6063-5072 (11135)

omnibus-076daa

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$105.61

Value

$98.89

PnL

-$6.72

Record

50%

20222-20549 (40771)

smithagentCTR<$100

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$1.31

Value

$90

PnL

+$88.69

Record

48%

5299-5685 (10984)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$38.93

Value

$36.99

PnL

-$1.94

Record

52%

14128-12900 (27028)

NatoAlfista<$100

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$23.33

Value

$27.09

PnL

+$3.76

Record

50%

4090-4063 (8153)

VeryLucky888<$100

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$12.23

Value

$20.27

PnL

+$8.04

Record

58%

44668-32527 (77195)

0xheavy888CTR<$100

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$10.8

Value

$10.8

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

7605-6096 (13701)

pauleta23CTR<$100

Jonas Forejtek

Invested

$10.16

Value

$5.22

PnL

-$4.94

Record

66%

23839-12063 (35902)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$4.85

Value

PnL

+$0.15

Record

35%

17577-32882 (50459)

Lilybaeum<$100

Kimmer Coppejans

Invested

$0.61

Value

$1.02

PnL

+$0.4

Record

61%

13947-8981 (22928)

Research grade

NeutralKimmer Coppejans at 63%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Kimmer Coppejans

13 of 21 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+10 pts consensus

Breadth

12 traders

Top 2 hold 57%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Watch

2 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

60% of non-arb traders are on Kimmer Coppejans. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 57% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleKimmer Coppejans 50% · 4

Aligned

sharpJonas Forejtek 50% · 2

Diverging

ctrJonas Forejtek 56% · 9

Diverging

Hand-pickedKimmer Coppejans 67% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Kimmer Coppejans 58% · 19

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Kimmer Coppejans wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance65.2%

63.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$53.49

Max Loss

-$100.00

153.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.