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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (743–249, n=992)45% (198–245, n=443)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL—$70K$10K-$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #47PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (95 of 135 open)74% (17 of 23 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641Lakers $9.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $908Matteo Martineau $766—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $2.4KUgo Humbert $10K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $984Aryna Sabalenka $5.1K—
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $254Max Alcala Gurri $4.1K—
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
—Polona Hercog $1.0KPolona Hercog $322—
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
same side · consensus Andrea Lazaro Garcia
—Andrea Lazaro Garcia $168Andrea Lazaro Garcia $351—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $10Trail Blazers $350—