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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (576–518, n=1094) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $595K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 53% (57 of 108 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | MMA −8 pts, n=16 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 26% of 119) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 54% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 63% of 322) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 90% of 128) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $303 | — | Yes $28 | — |