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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3351, n=7824) | 82% (313–69, n=382) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$551K | $11.2M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #316 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 76% (won 98% of 549) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $6.2K | No $482K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $342 | — | Yes $16K | — |