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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Biggggggggjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)20% (1328–5365, n=6693)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$559K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #8PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)56% (116 of 206 open)no open consensus position59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Economy −5 pts, n=109——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)30% (won 7% of 1163)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)5% (won 43% of 182)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)5% (won 68% of 179)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)60% (won 97% of 2298)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Biggggggggjoseph00677RN1
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $135No $218——
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $48No $14——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $68K——Tommy Paul $31K
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.1KYes $33——