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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCrypto-Joe
Record (consensus markets)57% (4516–3391, n=7907)45% (573–710, n=1283)65% (91–49, n=140)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$9.4M$7.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #70PM monthly #3PM monthly #880
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)85% (29 of 34 open)83% (19 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)11% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 47% of 19)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 81% of 26)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)42% (won 93% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCrypto-Joe
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $56No $87KYes $14K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4KYes $74K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $117—No $1.7K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $50—No $240
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $160K—No $1.5K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—Yes $685
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $1.0K—