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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankDitto321Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)45% (576–717, n=1293)49% (307–317, n=624)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$11K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3was PM monthly #961PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)88% (22 of 25 open)64% (7 of 11 open)69% (119 of 173 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=70, ROI +9%
  • Esports +4 pts n=115, ROI +4%
  • NBA +22 pts n=10, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Tennis −5 pts, n=165Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%48% of 581 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 19% of 72)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)35% (won 98% of 204)40% (won 45% of 233)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 100% of 202)39% (won 52% of 226)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 100% of 116)9% (won 82% of 50)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankDitto321Flaznorp
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $37K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4K——Alexandra Eala $23K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K——Under $238
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $494
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Pokhara Avengers
opposite sides · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Chitwan Rhinos $341——Pokhara Avengers $24
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $53K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2K——Yes $40
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Mai Hontama $724——Mai Hontama $3.9K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
FURIA $355——FURIA $239