Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpGamblingOdyssey
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)55% (903–739, n=1642)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.5M$737K
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #23was PM monthly #890
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)86% (24 of 28 open)71% (278 of 390 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%57% of 1595 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)18% (won 24% of 288)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)39% (won 47% of 619)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 76% of 358)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)21% (won 84% of 330)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpGamblingOdyssey
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K——
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $6.6K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $49—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $2.5K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $21K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $8.2K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $3.2K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $1.4K—