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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpglennyorkshire
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)44% (181–230, n=411)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.5M-$3.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #3PM monthly #21was PM monthly #901
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)82% (23 of 28 open)74% (238 of 323 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NFL +7 pts n=51, ROI −8%
  • MLB +12 pts n=18, ROI +19%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer −4 pts, n=199
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%53% of 372 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 13% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)28% (won 45% of 103)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)48% (won 55% of 177)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)19% (won 74% of 69)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpglennyorkshire
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $45K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13K—Under $3.1K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K—Casper Ruud $8.2K—
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $3.5K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $530—Over $211—
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $270Yes $4
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200K—Yes $41K—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $128K—Yes $28K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K—No $49K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $47K—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38—No $3.1K—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17—PFK CSKA Sofia $1.8K—