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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)45% (573–710, n=1283)82% (5504–1202, n=6706)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$9.4M$148K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #3PM monthly #541PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)71% (24 of 34 open)77% (60 of 78 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 99% of 259)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 895)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 954)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 2163)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-Pprimm
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $278KNo $31—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $80K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $1.8K—
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6KNo $25—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $22—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $56No $88K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $1.0K——