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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 68% (17–8, n=25) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 83% (15–3, n=18) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $884K | $260K | -$481 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #82 | PM monthly #136 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 29% (4 of 14 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 93% (265 of 284 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | Entertainment −3 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 92% of 77 at avg 92¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 6% (won 0% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 0% | 92% (won 99% of 71) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | Kings $84 | — | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $21K | Ciryl Gane $49K | — | — |
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $12K | — | Kings $6.5K | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $17K | — | No $29 |