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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | jeremyclar | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4527–3305, n=7832) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 43% (55–72, n=127) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | -$6.9K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #871 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (20 of 27 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NBA −2 pts, n=55 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 69% (won 40% of 72) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 20% (won 43% of 21) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 10% (won 90% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | jeremyclar | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $184K | Jaguars $3.9K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $89K | Jaguars $2.5K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $53K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $74K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |