← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | qidao001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $779K | — | -$248 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #152 | was PM monthly #970 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 41% (7 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | qidao001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | Kings $76 | — | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $6.5K | Clippers $19K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | Clippers $298 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $146 | Trail Blazers $2.8K | — | — |