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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | ryou999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 41% (12–17, n=29) | 0% (0–2, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $779K | $208K | -$4.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #593 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (14 of 27 open) | 47% (7 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% | 33% of 3 at avg 34¢, ROI −11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 65% (won 78% of 36) | 67% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 29% (won 94% of 16) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 4% (won 50% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | ryou999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2.6K | Celtics $20K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | Celtics $226 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $32K | Celtics $138K | — | — |