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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpKaczka
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)51% (448–430, n=878)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.7M$7.8K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #13was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)69% (249 of 359 open)88% (7 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +28 pts n=440, ROI +22%
  • NBA +30 pts n=42, ROI +26%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=90, ROI +18%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%83% of 585 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)23% (won 70% of 137)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)61% (won 88% of 356)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)11% (won 92% of 66)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpKaczka
Raptors vs. Bucks
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $1.8KRaptors $4.2KRaptors $25
Ducks vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Flames $87KDucks $59—
Celtics vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Hornets $604Celtics $49K—
Jazz vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $30KMavericks $817—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $240—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $494—
76ers vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Cavaliers $5.1K76ers $20
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $514Over $1.9K—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Mavericks $56Jazz $174—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Hornets $39Celtics $102
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11Raptors $56—
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus T1
Karmine Corp $7—T1 $30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus T1
T1 $368KT1 $40—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12KGrizzlies $952—
Wizards vs. Hawks
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2.3KHawks $48