Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Mavericks — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Mavericks
Jazz vs. Mavericks
Resolved Mavericks. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Mavericks. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
41
Mavericks 57%
1 arb excluded
$213.5K
$-18.6K
Smart Money Signal
23 of 41 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed18 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JA jakepaulthegoat2008 | Mavericksavg 70¢ | $28.0K | $40.0K | +$12.0K | 50% 7659-7804 (15463) |
TA takeormake | Mavericksavg 73.3¢ | $40.7K | $34.7K | $-5.9K | 52% 4963-4513 (9476) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Mavericksavg 69.7¢ | $28.7K | $33.4K | +$4.7K | 46% 1703-1992 (3695) |
65 6512395314597884 | Mavericksavg 74.6¢ | $23.4K | $13.5K | +$1.2K | 51% 4834-4701 (9535) |
MU Multicoloured-Serf | Mavericksavg 73.2¢ | $10.7K | $13.8K | +$3.1K | 47% 374-421 (795) |
WI winner877 | Mavericksavg 99¢ | $12.3K | $12.4K | +$123.24 | 83% 1091-219 (1310) |
AC Aceplus3 | Mavericksavg 75.8¢ | $44.5K | $11.3K | +$947.91 | 55% 37-30 (67) |
DA darkumbreon88 | Mavericksavg 70¢ | $7.9K | $11.3K | +$3.4K | 64% 2024-1128 (3152) |
AN Anon455 | Mavericksavg 70¢ | $3.5K | $11.1K | +$399.27 | 55% 3684-3040 (6724) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Mavericksavg 71.3¢ | $7.2K | $7.0K | -$165.62 | 52% 14624-13294 (27918) |
HE henryttok | Mavericksavg 76.5¢ | $5.3K | $5.0K | -$267.31 | 65% 192-102 (294) |
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CTR | Jazzavg 30.7¢ | $31.5K | — | $-31.5K | 53% 6301-5586 (11887) |
 ElonSpam | Mavericksavg 71¢ | $3.6K | $5.0K | +$1.4K | 40% 1558-2368 (3926) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Mavericksavg 69.3¢ | $4.4K | $3.9K | -$496.81 | 57% 19412-14358 (33770) |
0X 0xfFFF6537 | Mavericksavg 72.6¢ | $5.6K | $3.8K | -$514.82 | 49% 1132-1172 (2304) |
HI hi774c | Mavericksavg 71¢ | $1.4K | $2.0K | +$100.78 | 46% 5268-6113 (11381) |
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Jazzavg 30¢ | $6.5K | $975.19 | $-5.8K | 54% 18314-15419 (33733) |
| └ Mavericks leg | Mavericksavg 71.9¢ | $701 | $975.19 | +$50.34 | |
| └ Jazz leg | Jazzavg 30¢ | $5.8K | — | $-5.8K | |
AN analdesutructor | Mavericksavg 55.1¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$711.74 | 53% 197-177 (374) |
PT PT-S7 | Mavericksavg 71.9¢ | $2.5K | $936.39 | +$412.32 | 49% 3260-3439 (6699) |
NM NM-P | Mavericksavg 70¢ | $670 | $749.99 | +$80 | 64% 10122-5677 (15799) |
FR freeman123 | Mavericksavg 96.2¢ | $399.2 | $415 | +$15.8 | 82% 583-129 (712) |
FL Flaznorp | Mavericksavg 68.8¢ | $267.92 | $389.43 | +$121.51 | 51% 26809-25398 (52207) |
FU Fujimi888CTR | Jazzavg 30¢ | $279.72 | — | -$279.72 | 49% 124-131 (255) |
BI biying88888CTR | Jazzavg 37.9¢ | $2.4K | — | $-2.4K | 89% 116-15 (131) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Jazzavg 29¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 58% 47297-34106 (81403) |
Invested
$28,000
Value
$40.0K
PnL
+$12.0K
Record
50%
7659-7804 (15463)
Invested
$40,666.19
Value
$34.7K
PnL
$-5.9K
Record
52%
4963-4513 (9476)
Invested
$28,703.58
Value
$33.4K
PnL
+$4.7K
Record
46%
1703-1992 (3695)
Invested
$23,369.81
Value
$13.5K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
51%
4834-4701 (9535)
Invested
$10,683.42
Value
$13.8K
PnL
+$3.1K
Record
47%
374-421 (795)
Invested
$12,293.57
Value
$12.4K
PnL
+$123.24
Record
83%
1091-219 (1310)
Invested
$44,514.19
Value
$11.3K
PnL
+$947.91
Record
55%
37-30 (67)
Invested
$7,939.19
Value
$11.3K
PnL
+$3.4K
Record
64%
2024-1128 (3152)
Invested
$3,500.01
Value
$11.1K
PnL
+$399.27
Record
55%
3684-3040 (6724)
Invested
$7,152.74
Value
$7.0K
PnL
-$165.62
Record
52%
14624-13294 (27918)
Invested
$5,267.31
Value
$5.0K
PnL
-$267.31
Record
65%
192-102 (294)
Invested
$31,519.7
Value
—
PnL
$-31.5K
Record
53%
6301-5586 (11887)
ElonSpamInvested
$3,552.5
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
40%
1558-2368 (3926)
Invested
$4,374.66
Value
$3.9K
PnL
-$496.81
Record
57%
19412-14358 (33770)
Invested
$5,613.13
Value
$3.8K
PnL
-$514.82
Record
49%
1132-1172 (2304)
Invested
$1,386
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$100.78
Record
46%
5268-6113 (11381)
Invested
$6,541.54
Value
$975.19
PnL
$-5.8K
Record
54%
18314-15419 (33733)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,587
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$711.74
Record
53%
197-177 (374)
Invested
$2,462.14
Value
$936.39
PnL
+$412.32
Record
49%
3260-3439 (6699)
Invested
$670
Value
$749.99
PnL
+$80
Record
64%
10122-5677 (15799)
Invested
$399.2
Value
$415
PnL
+$15.8
Record
82%
583-129 (712)
Invested
$267.92
Value
$389.43
PnL
+$121.51
Record
51%
26809-25398 (52207)
Invested
$279.72
Value
—
PnL
-$279.72
Record
49%
124-131 (255)
Invested
$2,402.23
Value
—
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
89%
116-15 (131)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,756.54
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
58%
47297-34106 (81403)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
jakepaulthegoat2008
Mavericks — $40.0K
takeormake
Mavericks — $34.7K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Mavericks — $33.4K
6512395314597884
Mavericks — $13.5K
Multicoloured-Serf
Mavericks — $13.8K
winner877
Mavericks — $12.4K
Aceplus3
Mavericks — $11.3K
darkumbreon88
Mavericks — $11.3K
Anon455
Mavericks — $11.1K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Mavericks — $7.0K