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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465G.HchenprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)69% (376–172, n=548)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$72K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #616PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (17 of 25 open)59% (22 of 37 open)50% (9 of 18 open)59% (44 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Finance −27 pts, n=10——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%70% of 538 at avg 56¢, ROI +15%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)14% (won 25% of 73)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)24% (won 60% of 131)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)34% (won 81% of 183)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)28% (won 85% of 151)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465G.HchenprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $26KJaguars $19K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $26K——Jaguars $2.6K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12KOver $10K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $1.8K——Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $500——Suns $1.7K
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $266——Warriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $2.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654