← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 41% (3270–4728, n=7998) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$460K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #257 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 73% (548 of 751 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 68% (80 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $214 | No $891 | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | Yes $464 | — | — |