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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465afrazRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)62% (241–150, n=391)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$2.3K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #523PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (19 of 25 open)75% (3 of 4 open)61% (94 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Tennis −9 pts, n=102—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%54% of 355 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 22% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)30% (won 40% of 108)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)38% (won 62% of 135)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)21% (won 74% of 76)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465afrazRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23KYes $945No $20K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $320Yes $42K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12K—Under $6
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $194No $2.5K
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $49—Yes $592
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96K—No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43K—No $20K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6K—Over $288
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311—No $1.5K
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43—No $430
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $321—No $135
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25—PFK CSKA Sofia $43