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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | alvahunter | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 35% (24–45, n=69) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $1.6K | $7.9M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #816 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 82% (27 of 33 open) | 55% (44 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 28 at avg 42¢, ROI +53% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 36% (won 80% of 10) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 25% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 36% (won 90% of 10) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | alvahunter | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $45K | — | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $5.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | — | Ravens $194K | Jaguars $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | — | Ravens $293 | Ravens $1.2K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $55K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $837 | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | No $72K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $1.7K | Warriors $520 |