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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)53% (10–9, n=19)75% (743–249, n=992)45% (198–245, n=443)
Consensus PnL-$493K$282$70K$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #271PM monthly #14PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)66% (71 of 108 open)70% (95 of 135 open)74% (17 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 10 at avg 59¢, ROI +23%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)40% (won 100% of 4)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)40% (won 100% of 4)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)20% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $55K——Jazz $5.9K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $641Lakers $9.7K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
——Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
——Hugo Gaston $908Matteo Martineau $766
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $3.7K——Taylor Fritz $13K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
——Ugo Humbert $2.4KUgo Humbert $10K
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
——Aryna Sabalenka $984Aryna Sabalenka $5.1K
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
——Max Alcala Gurri $254Max Alcala Gurri $4.1K
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K—Dartmouth Big Green $415—
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
——Polona Hercog $1.0KPolona Hercog $322
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
same side · consensus Andrea Lazaro Garcia
——Andrea Lazaro Garcia $168Andrea Lazaro Garcia $351
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $10Trail Blazers $350
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90—Vikings $6—