← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | Bigggggggg | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3321, n=7860) | no settled market | 20% (1344–5404, n=6748) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | — | $566K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | — | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (171 of 240 open) | 70% (51 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Economy −5 pts, n=113 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | — | 66% of 3892 at avg 65¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | — | 30% (won 7% of 1167) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | — | 5% (won 43% of 183) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | — | 5% (won 67% of 184) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | — | 61% (won 98% of 2358) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | Bigggggggg | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | Yes $704 | — |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2 | No $173 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22 | — | No $14 | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $9 | Yes $62K |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $4 | — |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | No $2.0K |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $868 | — | Yes $33 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $46 | No $358 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $58 | — | Yes $5 | — |