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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | no settled market | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 39% (291–447, n=738) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | — | $9.4M | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 83% (350 of 423 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $15K | No $1.6K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $149 | — | — | No $6.0K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.6K | No $1.4K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $182K | No $81 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $12K | No $1.7K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.0K | No $1.6K |