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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4527–3305, n=7832) | 35% (1617–2980, n=4597) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $22K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #116 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (20 of 28 open) | 85% (106 of 124 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −2 pts, n=690 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 55% of 3042 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 39% (won 1% of 1182) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 3% (won 42% of 106) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 6% (won 62% of 169) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 52% (won 96% of 1585) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $46K | — | Jaguars $4.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $30K | — | Jaguars $1.5K |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $868 | No $988 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $16K | — | Ravens $688 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $294 | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | No $302 | — |