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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighPan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–67, n=126)45% (193–240, n=433)74% (355–125, n=480)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL-$296K$26K-$4.1K-$146K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #43was PM monthly #979PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)83% (10 of 12 open)53% (32 of 60 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +24 pts n=49, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +29 pts n=10, ROI +26%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 75 at avg 76¢, ROI +22%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)11% (won 100% of 8)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 67)24% (won 100% of 18)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 9)64% (won 100% of 48)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighPan9XRN1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $202KG2 $1.8KMOUZ $12—
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $191Jurij Rodionov $17KPedro Martinez $16—
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $8.7KSumit Nagal $22Sumit Nagal $3.0K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $5.2KAlexander Shevchenko $22—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Mak Mikovic
opposite sides · consensus Tommaso Compagnucci
—Mak Mikovic $33—Tommaso Compagnucci $910
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Elina Svitolina $458Karolina Muchova $33—
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Magic $34K—Magic $12—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $14KTaylor Fritz $32—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93—Vikings $37—