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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighqinlaobanRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)45% (200–248, n=448)56% (5–4, n=9)66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL-$420K$28K-$294-$157K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #44PM monthly #686PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)73% (22 of 30 open)no open consensus position80% (8 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 7 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 8)0%6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 100% of 51)86% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 68)14% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)7% (won 100% of 9)0%51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighqinlaobanRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $3.3KUgo Humbert $10K—Ugo Humbert $2.5K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $53KJazz $6.0K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $2.7KTaylor Fritz $20K——
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
—Tatjana Maria $11K—Tatjana Maria $8.6K
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $11K—Max Alcala Gurri $7.4K
Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $6.6K—Filip Misolic $5.8K
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
same side · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Sachia Vickery $2—Sachia Vickery $786
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
same side · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
—Andrea Lazaro Garcia $323—Andrea Lazaro Garcia $2