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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $84K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (25 of 36 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 56% (32 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $8.9K | — | Kings $3.3K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $77 | — | Over $930 |
| UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors opposite sides · consensus Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $56 | — | UT Arlington Mavericks $8 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $316K | T1 $2.5K | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $44K | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears same side · consensus Bears | Bears $80K | — | Bears $20K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $9.7K | — | Keisuke Saitoh $26K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $29K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |