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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1NM-PUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)63% (990–573, n=1563)83% (5378–1108, n=6486)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.2M$47K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #105PM monthly #527PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)74% (82 of 111 open)72% (138 of 193 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1NM-PUpTheBlues
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165K—Arthur Fils $989—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $573—No $1.9K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $1.0K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2No $12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $89K—No $5.9K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $7.8K—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14K—No $962—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Over $725—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $304—No $5.8K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $2.5K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $3.0K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $206—No $2.4K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $20No $1.1K