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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)71% (562–229, n=791)62% (395–247, n=642)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)
Consensus PnL-$797$4.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #581PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMLB −12 pts, n=60—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won70% of 460 at avg 70¢, ROI −1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 9% of 90)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 35% of 17)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 57% of 40)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up68% (won 91% of 313)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.