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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616beachboy4joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (2604–3484, n=6088)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)65% (870–459, n=1329)
Consensus PnL$92K—$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #502—PM monthly #1PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus52% (36 of 69 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • Weather +2 pts n=147, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
not computed yet
Weakest topicMentions ±0 pts, n=925——NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢54% (won 3% of 1749)—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 43% of 463)—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 61% of 140)—65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 97% of 901)—18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616beachboy4joseph00677ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17——No $1.5M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14——Yes $820K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $33——Yes $118
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $12K——No $2.0M
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4K——Yes $503K
2026 Balance of Power: Other
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12——Yes $2.1K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
Yes $7——Yes $1.7K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $5——Yes $145