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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2604–3484, n=6088) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #495 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (45 of 78 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (25 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=925 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1749) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 463) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 61% of 140) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 901) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $13 | — | No $1.5M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $18 | — | Yes $818K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | No $50 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | Yes $56 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $2.0M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | Yes $503K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $16K | — | No $242K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | Yes $2.1K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $33 | — | Yes $1.4K |