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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 68% (360–171, n=531) | 63% (12–7, n=19) | 41% (12–17, n=29) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | -$115K | $251K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #19 + pinned | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 61% (76 of 124 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 3) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 100% of 4) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $13K | Jazz $22K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $7.0K | Kings $3.4K | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $9.4K | Suns $111K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $492 | Suns $39K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $202 | Kings $585 | — |