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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7ndb1RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)59% (1041–738, n=1779)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$286K$4.6M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #889PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus58% (91 of 157 open)71% (67 of 94 open)54% (14 of 26 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41NFL −7 pts, n=158—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7ndb1RN1weflyhigh
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $26K——
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $1.9K——