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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeajoseph00677BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)50% (10–10, n=20)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$5.3M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #410PM monthly #2PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus53% (31 of 58 open)no open consensus position90% (146 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +12 pts n=46, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −9 pts, n=137——
Settled positions, side won40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 6% of 1254)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 36% of 922)6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 64% of 1045)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 431)18% (won 67% of 3)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeajoseph00677BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.3K—Yes $274K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $214—No $202K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $348—Yes $85K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.6K—Yes $31K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $850—No $30K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $897—Yes $22K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $161—Yes $2.6K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $230