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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 77% (10921–3248, n=14169) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $874K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (79 of 111 open) | 54% (59 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 7% (won 54% of 350) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 9% (won 73% of 444) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $268K | Yes $142 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $34K | No $59 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | No $15 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $43K | No $8.5K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $726 | No $27 | — |